CALGARY - Alberta's Calgary-Edmonton corridor has grown into
Canada's "Western tiger," piling up American-style wealth while
retaining a Canadian-style quality of life, a new study by one of
Canada's top banks says.
A magnet of educated migrants and blockbuster investments, the
region had a "spectacular run" in the past decade, driving per
capita GDP, an indicator of economic output, to US$40,000 -- 10%
higher than average U.S. metropolitan areas and 40% above that of
its Canadian counterparts, according to the report, released
yesterday by TD Financial Group.
Its standard of living is so high it outranks all Organization
for Economic Co-operation and Development nations, except
Luxembourg.
"Recently, Canada has been referred to as an economic tiger
[because] we have been outperforming our U.S. counterpart at a
difficult time," said the study's author, TD senior economist Derek
Burleton.
"If there is a tiger in Canada, it's spending a fair amount of
time patrolling up and down Highway 2" -- the artery connecting
Calgary and Edmonton, Mr. Burleton said.
The bank says the corridor has enormous potential, not only to
widen its economic lead in Canada, but to become the most prosperous
and the best place to live in North America.
"It's about time that we got recognized for what we are," said
University of Calgary economist Frank Atkins. "We are one of the
powerhouse economies in this country and this is an explicit
recognition of it."
Roger Gibbins, president of the Canada West Foundation, a public
policy think-tank in Calgary, said the study also highlights the
disparity between the corridor's economic and political power, given
Alberta's lack of influence in Ottawa.
"In a nutshell, that is kind of the history of Western
alienation," he said.
"People assume that discontent is generated by a lack of
prosperity, a failure to have wealth. In Alberta's case, it's
prosperity that drives discontent. The Edmonton/Calgary corridor is
not only a powerhouse, but the backbone of regional discontent in
Western Canada."
The study attributes Alberta's good fortune in large measure to
its vast oil and gas riches. Half a century after the commercial
discovery of oil at Leduc, the industry remains Alberta's largest
and accounts for 19% of the economy.
But it says low taxes, low costs to set up a business and
proximity to one of the world's most attractive mountain playgrounds
also helped.
"It shows low, low business costs can attract business. I think
that's one lesson that has been learned and that's why other regimes
are trying to follow suit to the best of their abilities," Mr.
Burleton said.
With a population of 2.2-million, the Calgary/ Edmonton corridor
is modest in comparison to Canada's other top urban centres --
Ontario's 6.7-million Golden Horseshoe, the 3.7-million Montreal and
area region, and B.C.'s 2.7-million Lower Mainland and southern
Vancouver Island.
However, "it's becoming more important as a share of GDP as it
outpaces the rest of Canada," Mr. Burleton said.
Calgary was leading the country in the 1995 to 2000 period in
wage and salary increases, with a 3% average annual growth, compared
with 2.5% in Toronto, 1.5% in Montreal and 1.4% in Vancouver.
In terms of employment growth, the corridor ranks ahead of such
cities as Boston, Chicago, San Francisco and New York. And the trend
is expected to continue.
Dave Bronconnier, Mayor of Calgary, said the study accurately
reflects the corridor's economic might.
"The strength of the Calgary/Edmonton corridor speaks well for
Western Canada as well as all Canadians," he said, adding that its
prosperity helps create jobs across Canada, attracts foreign
investment and produces valuable exports.
"You look at the GDP growth, you look at the number of wealth
creation on a population base, by anyone's measuring stick that is
phenomenal growth."
People across Canada have been noticing. David Marshall,
president of Nipissing University in North Bay, is moving to Calgary
this summer to lead Mount Royal College. He said the college's drive
to innovate and improve, along with Alberta's recreation
opportunities, were among the job's big attractions.
"We have a feeling we can find a great career challenge and we
can live in a city that appears vibrant and certainly new and
exciting, and still have access to the outdoor lifestyle that is so
important to us," Mr. Marshall said.
The financial industry predicts more fast-paced growth for the
next few years, as Alberta benefits from massive oil sands
investments and continuing bright prospects for the oil and gas
industry.
But analysts also warn there are problems stemming from such a
strong economy, adding that social, educational and infrastructure
challenges are mounting.
They include labour shortages in many areas, a $7-billion backlog
in infrastructure spending, a growing gap between the rich and the
poor, and a disappointingly low number of high-school graduates
going into post-secondary education, in part due to rising tuition
fees.
Ralph Klein, Alberta's Premier, said tuition fees at
post-secondary institutions in Alberta are within a normal range
compared with fees in other provinces.
He said some students choose to delay their post-secondary
experience for a few years, or attend part-time while they work.
Regarding Mr. Burleton's concern that if the economy slows down,
Alberta will not be able to rely on educated workers moving from
other provinces to meet the province's needs, Mr. Klein said, "I
will take that as valid criticism."
"Certainly it's something that has been identified by industry as
a whole, and that is the need to get more trained people -- not
necessarily degreed people -- but trained people into the work
force, because of the phenomenal amount of economic activity that is
taking place right now."
All three levels of government need to play a role in ensuring
the corridor continues to thrive, the bank says.
The Alberta government needs to give municipalities access to a
broader range of revenue sources, such as a gasoline excise tax and
a hotel tax, invest further in education and foster research. It
also needs to legislate a reduction in capital taxes to 8%, it
says.
It also recommends that Ottawa spend more money on infrastructure
and reach a comprehensive border arrangement with the United
States.
cgillis@nationalpost.com